Oscar Predictions!

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Gary Gershoff / WireImage/Getty Images

Since all the faithful Getty Images Entertainment Blog readers have been biting their nails in feverish anticipation of Clint’s Oscar predictions (this is what I tell myself), I assuage your sweaty expectancy below. However, as David Carr points out in his Oscar picks for the New York Times, don’t bet on any ‘expert’ opinion for your office pool, especially if your ‘office pool’ involves scary Italian New Jerseyites and a lot of bloody cash. Make your own blind picks this year – it’s turning into a tough one for predictions. Perhaps it’s writers strike fatigue or just a general lack of consensus, but in any case no one is feeling too confident with their choices.

BEST PICTURE
Prediction:
No Country for Old Men
Clint’s Pick: There Will Be Blood
Paul Thomas Anderson’s virtuosic, bold allegory about the sickness of capitalist greed is too obscure to win here, though I’m impressed it got nominated at all. No Country is a great film, and despite its bloody misanthropy it really has grasped Oscar’s balls. This feels like a lock.

BEST DIRECTOR
Prediction:
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Clint’s Pick: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
The Coens deserve this, just like Scorsese did last year. This is a career Oscar. They’ve been robbed in the past. Unlike The Departed though, No Country for Old Men is a modern masterpiece, so I won’t be too upset when they take the stage. Nonetheless, the most singular vision from any director this year – save maybe Cristian Mungiu – came from PTA. 

BEST ACTRESS
Prediction:
Marion Cotillard, La vie en rose
Clint’s Pick: Same
Laura Linney deserves an Oscar more than anyone else in this category (she is constantly getting robbed), but Cotillard’s performance is just plain brilliant. All those other Oscar-winning biopic performances (besides Charlize Theron in Monster) pale in comparison. Julie Christie is the frontrunner here, but I’m predicting an upset.

BEST ACTOR
Prediction:
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Clint’s Pick: Same
The only way Day-Lewis won’t win this is if the Oscar voters try to be nifty, have a Crash moment (oops, just vomited), and give it to George Clooney just to be contrary. That would be kind of like the AFI bumping Citizen Kane from their Top 100 list in favor of Michael Bay’s Con Air, but whatever – nothing can hurt more than that Crash sting. 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Prediction:
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Clint’s Pick: Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Prediction:
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Clint’s Pick: Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Prediction:
Diablo Cody, Juno
Clint’s Pick: Tamara Jenkins, The Savages

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Prediction:
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Clint’s Pick: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

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